The Disciplined Investor

SHAZAAM! – A November to Remember! Powell tries to talk markets down – not happening. Yields and  the USD collapse – good news for risk assets. And a look back at an amazing month …. Info Here. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (NKE), (SPY), (GLD), (SLV), (OIL), (DIA)

Recap from the H&C Client Webinar. Q&A as well as a look back and look ahead. What's in Store for 2024? Client Webinar Recap * What is Driving Markets * Federal Reserve Remains Restrictive * Treasury Yields and Mortgage Rates * TINA is Gone, TARA is In * The Political Climate Both Here and Abroad * The Economy - Running Out of Stimulus * Looking Forward * Potential Rate Cuts for 2024 Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: N/A

Govy shutdown – but who cares anyway? Moody’s does – rating watch to negative. Inflation holds – markets go vertical - Short holiday weeks and then into the end of the year.. Guest – Frank Curzio. Curzio Research Frank Curzio can be reached by email at frank@curzioresearch.com Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to two decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks. Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available) He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged. Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer'ss Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in financial magazines and websites. Before TheStreet.com, Frank was the editor of The FXC Newsletter and received one of the top rankings by Hulbert's Financial Digest for risk-adjusted performance. Follow @frankcurzio Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TGT), (MSFT), (SBUX), (DIS), (NVDA), (TSLA), (QQQ), (KRE), (AAPL), (NKE), (SPY), (IWM)

Rates Dip, Oil Dips, Stocks Hold Banks under pressure again – what is the problem now? Analysts cutting estimates at fastest pace since when? And out guest…Tom McClellan, editor of the McClellan Market Report   Register for the November 15th, 2024 Webinar   Tom McClellan is a graduate of the U.S. Military Academy at West Point where he studied aerospace engineering, and he served as an Army helicopter pilot for 11 years. He began his own study of market technical analysis while still in the Army, and discovered ways to expand the use of his parents‘ indicators to forecast future market turning points. Tom views the movements of prices in the financial market through the eyes of an engineer, which allows him to focus on what the data really say rather than interpreting events according to the same “conventional wisdom” used by other analysts. In 1993, he left the Army to join his father in pursuing a new career doing this type of analysis. Tom and Sherman spent the next 2 years refining their analysis techniques and laying groundwork. In April 1995 they launched their newsletter, The McClellan Market Report, an 8 page report covering the stock, bond, and gold markets, which is published twice a month. They utilize the unique indicators they have developed to present their view of the market‘s structure as well as their forecasts for future trend direction and the timing of turning points. A Daily Edition was added in February 1998 to give subscribers daily updates on their indicators and also provide market position indications for stocks, bonds and gold. Their subscribers range from individual investors to professional fund managers. Tom serves as editor of both publications, and runs the newsletter business from its location in Lakewood, WA. The signup link is http://mcoscillator.com Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TLT), (AAPL), (GLD), (SLV), (BND)

How would you like a big inheritance in the future? An Investment Carol Climbing a wall of worry as Powell tweaks commentary. Earnings season – looks like going to be back to earnings growth – Say goodbye to the earnings recession This episode guest: Steve Sanders - EVP at Interactive Brokers.   Register for the November 15th, 2024 Webinar   Steve Sanders is Executive Vice President of Marketing & Product Development at Interactive Brokers. In this capacity, he oversees all marketing and product development efforts at the company and introduces Interactive Brokers’ low commissions, advanced trading technology and breadth of product worldwide to advanced individual and institutional investors globally. Steve joined Interactive Brokers in 2001 to establish the company’s platform for financial advisors. Since that time, he has been responsible for many key initiatives including building a direct / digital marketing program, developing a new account structure and registration process for institutional investor clients and contributing to the deployment of the company’s Integrated Investment Account.  During his over twenty-year tenure with the company, Steve has remained focused on providing IBKR clients with the products, tools and resources necessary to meet a wide variety of trading and investing objectives, which he believes has contributed to the company’s extraordinary growth over the years. Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Steve spent fifteen years at Citibank in a variety of positions including Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer of Cybic, a “Request for Quote” exchange to facilitate the distribution of OTC derivative products to retail investors, which he developed. Before that, he held diverse roles throughout the organization in credit & risk management, marketing, financial planning, and product structuring functions. Steve holds an MBA in Finance from the University of Chicago and an undergraduate degree from SUNY at Albany in Accounting and Computer Science. IBKR CAMPUS Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TLT), (AAPL), (GOOG), (AMZN), (BND)

Only one sector up for the month – it will surprise you. GDP is what? Who says the economy is slowing? Margins and earnings – a look inside. And our guest this week  - Danielle Dimartino Booth   Register for the November 15th, 2024 Webinar   Danielle DiMartino Booth is CEO & Chief Strategist for QI Research, a research and analytics firm. DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how market intelligence is conceived and delivered to guide portfolio managers and promote financial literacy. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. Since their inception in 2015, commentary and data from DiMartino Booth’s The Daily Feather and The Weekly Quill have appeared in other financial sources such asBloomberg, CNBC, Fox Business, Institutional Investor, Yahoo Finance, The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha, TD Ameritrade, TheStreet.com, and more. A global thought leader in monetary policy, economics, and finance, DiMartino Booth founded QI Research in 2015. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to QI Research, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. She served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis until his retirement in March 2015. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed-income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TGT), (WMT), (SPY), (AMZN)

What exactly is AI and how is it transformational? Where are markets going and why does the Fed want the economy to break? Our guest, Ross Gerber is naming names in the AI and Tech space that he likes right now.   Register for the November 15th, 2024 Webinar   Ross Gerber is the Co-Founder, President and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. Ross oversees Gerber Kawasaki's corporate and investment management operations as well as serves individual clients. Ross has become one of the most followed investors on social and in traditional media. His investment ideas and advice have made him a regular in the business news and he is featured on CNN, CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg and Reuters as well as a contributing writer for Forbes.com. He has been ranked as one of the most influential investment advisors and Fintech innovators in America*. Ross and the Gerber Kawasaki team oversees well over a billion dollars of investments focused on technology, media and entertainment companies for clients and the firm. Gerber Kawasaki has grown to be a leader in Fintech by leveraging technology to work with a younger generation of clients. Ross is an expert in online marketing and social media as well as co-developed the company’s app for IOS. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TSLA), (AI), (MSFT), (AMZN), (XLK), (NVO), (NKE), (LULU)

Autonomous farming, sustainable energy, food scarcity and the debt cycle that funded it all. Conflict in the Middle East drives oil up Hot CPI and PPI squash bonds. Sustainability and bubbles are the focus of our guests. Satyajit Das is an internationally respected expert in finance, with over 37 years’ experience. Das presciently anticipated many aspects of the global financial crisis in 2006. He subsequently proved accurate in his warnings about the ineffectiveness of policy responses and the risk of low growth, sovereign debt problems (anticipating the restructuring of Greek debt), and the increasing problems of China and emerging economies. In 2014 Bloomberg nominated him as one of the fifty most influential financial thinkers in the world. Das is the author of a number of key reference works on derivatives and risk management. Das is the author of two international bestsellers, Traders, Guns & Money (2006) and Extreme Money (2011). His latest book is A Banquet of Consequences: Have We Consumed Our Own Future? (2015 & 2021) He was featured in Charles Ferguson’s 2010 Oscar-winning documentary Inside Job, the 2012 PBS Frontline series Money, Power & Wall Street, the 2009 BBC TV documentary Tricks with Risk, and the 2015 German film Who’s Saving Whom. His writing appears in Financial Times, Nikkei Asia review and Marketwatch Robbie Miles, CFA, ACA - Portfolio Manager (Director) in the Global Thematic Equity team, London Robbie is a Portfolio Manager at Allianz Global Investors (AGI) with over 12 years of investment experience. He is the lead portfolio manager of two global equity strategies, Positive Change and Food Security, having previously co-run the Global Sustainability fund. He is a Director within the Global Thematic team, which combines bottom-up stock research with thematic analysis. Robbie joined AGI in 2014, spending 4 of those years in San Francisco, leading the firm’s sustainable investment integration process in the US. Before joining Allianz Global Investors, he qualified as a Chartered Accountant with PwC. Robbie has a first class degree in Environment & Business from the University of Leeds. He is a CFA charterholder. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (JPM), (KRE), (TLT), (USO)

The all important employment report and what happened after. Treasury Yields go parabolic as political upheaval and a new shutdown countdown starts. Guest, Dr. Richard Smith – AKA – The Doctor of Uncertainty When Dr. Richard Smith discovered that many top investment advisors and wealthy traders used special mathematical formulas to invest in the stock market, he decided to try it out himself. Using his own formula, he found that he could make more money and take less risk, regardless of market performance. In 2004 he used this algorithm to build one of the first online financial technology platforms. The platform worked so well he made it available to individual investors. In 2013 he founded TradeSmith, which started as a simple way to track portfolios and evolved into a powerful suite of risk-management and portfolio analysis tools. The company grew to over 30,000 investors who entrusted his technology with a staggering $20 billion, earning him the moniker “doctor of uncertainty.” After 16 successful years, he sold TradeSmith at the top of the market. Never one to sit idle, Richard’s newest endeavor, RiskSmith, levels the playing field for individual investors. Synthesizing his passion for simplifying complex financial markets and his background in mathematics and systems science, Richard has created tools that help investors better understand and evaluate risk in the market. According to Richard, “Most people have no idea how powerful of a tool good risk management really is. They look at risk as something to stay away from. In fact, it’s exactly the opposite. Once you understand risk, you can control it. By taking smart risks, you can truly transform your financial future.” Richard studied mathematics at U.C. Berkeley and earned his PhD in Systems Science from the Watson School of Engineering at SUNY Binghamton under the late Professor George Klir. Richard is also Chairman of the Board and CEO of Foundation for the Study of Cycles, an international nonprofit that promotes and conducts research of cycles and how they can be used to make the world a better place Follow @Investing_Dr Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (QQQ), (WORK)

Markets digesting impacts of a government shutdown Moody’s warns US about its credit rating. Stocks stick to the program – seasonal trends hold. Wondering – are strikes the new inflationary thorn?   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (TLT)

Some old adages work – Sell Rosh Hashana – But what about Buying Yom Kippur? Market Sell-Off deepens as the Fed grows more hawkish. Some Buying opportunities emerging… Our guest – Chris Vecchio Head of Futures and Forex at Tastylive Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Chris Vecchio is  currently the Head of Futures and Forex at tastylive, the research arm of the brokerage tastytrade. I have a global macro focus, looking at shorter-term (<1 month) and longer-term (up to a year) trading opportunities in everything from /ES to /ZN to /CL to /GC to /6E. He holds a dual Bachelor of Arts degree in Government & Law and Economics from Lafayette College. During his undergraduate program, he gained a strong understanding of fundamental analysis of the foreign exchange markets by examining the interrelationship between geopolitical events, macroeconomic trends, and finance.   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/   Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (YEN), (JPY), (TSLA), (AAPL), (SPY)

CPI Hot – PPI Hot – but markets shrug it off. ECB raised rates 0.25% in a semi-surprising move. Blackout period continues for the Fed ahead of next week’s rate meeting – what a relief. And our guest this week – Eric Townsend, Host of the MacroVoices podcast Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Erik Townsend is a retired software entrepreneur turned hedge fund manager. Throughout his career, Erik has capitalized on his ability to understand complex systems and anticipate paradigm shifts far in advance of the mainstream. A teenage computer protégé, he spent most of his high school years at MIT's Artificial Intelligence laboratory, where he taught himself several computer programming languages. Erik became an independent software development and design consultant to Digital Corporation's manufacturing systems technology group at age 17. By age 20 he owned his first private aircraft, after earning his private and commercial pilot's licenses. From his experience at MIT, Erik recognized that the IT industry's failure to embrace distributed computing translated to an exceptional entrepreneurial opportunity. At age 21, Erik committed himself to developing and commercializing distributed application software technologies he was first exposed to at MIT in the late '70s. By the mid-1980s, Erik had invented an approach to distributed system design that is now widely known as Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA). After applying SOA concepts initially at Digital Equipment Corp (where he consulted for nearly 10 years), in 1992 Erik founded the Cushing Group, a boutique consultancy focused exclusively on bringing advanced distributed application computing technologies to market. The Cushing Group's work with Wells Fargo Bank in the early 1990s paved the way for Wells Fargo to become the world's first Internet Bank by early 1995. Erik has become a passionate world traveler. He moved to Hong Kong in 2009 to get a better perspective on changing global economics. While living in Hong Kong, several hedge fund professionals he met there observed that through his own passionate trading activities, Erik was “already doing all the work of running a hedge fund except for picking up the phone and calling a lawyer and turning it into a fund”. Erik was flattered by the advice of his peers in Hong Kong to launch his own hedge fund, but wanted to finish his boots-on-ground evaluation of the global economy first. He spent just over sixteen month in 2011 and 2012 exploring the world, living in 28 cities in 18 countries during that period. Erik continues to live a very international lifestyle, and presently has homes in Hong Kong, Mexico and the United States. Erik eventually took his Hong Kong friends’ advice to heart, and founded Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC in 2013. Through that asset management company, he launched a Global Macro-strategy hedge fund in July 2013. In February 2016, in a joint effort with Nathan Egger, Erik launched Macro Voices, a new weekly financial podcast program which will target professional finance, high net worth, and other “sophisticated” investors who desire financial content at a level of sophistication and complexity above what the retail investment-focused ...

The squirmy squirrelly market continues – China finally  figured it out – not pretty Oil up, stocks down, dollar up, VIX down just around 13 – Complacency? And out Guest, Manual Blay – The Dow Theory.com  - Newsletter – Home of the Schannep & Blay Timing Indicators Manuel Blay is the editor of TheDowTheory.com, a top-ranked investment letter that has garnered a remarkable reputation for assisting investors in navigating Bear markets while maximizing profits during Bull markets. Mr. Blay’s investment Letter is frequently quoted by Forbes, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, etc. Furthermore, he has extended the application of the Dow Theory beyond stocks to encompass U.S. bonds and precious metals. Throughout his career, Mr. Blay has actively traded for his personal portfolio. Prior to his endeavors as a trader and investment writer, he held a directorial position at an investment fund management company. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (QQQ), (SPY), (RSP), (DIA)

Unemployment rate is up. Oil is Up. Stocks are Up!! Yields are up too! Guest- Fausto Pugliese - Cyber Trading University Fausto Pugliese was an original “SOES Bandit” day traders in the early 1990’s and was one of the first independent traders to take advantage of the Direct Access Trading technology. He acquired a wealth of knowledge from years of hands-on experience, beginning in the trenches, working side by side with some of the most practiced and successful traders in the industry. After semi-retiring as a successful trader in his early-twenties, Fausto developed his own trading school. Fausto is the CEO and Founder of Cyber Trading University, also known as CTU. He is also a twelve-time champion at the Traders’ Challenge and is known for his live-trading events where he gets to prove how well his trading methods work in real-time. Fausto is the author of How to Beat Market Makers At Their Own Game – Uncovering the Mysteries of Day Trading published by Wiley Trading. Cyber Trading University has been educating individuals in the art of trading since 1995. Thousands of investors nationwide have taken CTU courses and continue to visit the University for continuing education and updates. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (DG), (LULU), (AMZN) (USO), (PLUG), (MARA)

Squirrely market conditions continue – and its just getting started Deadline October 1st – Another political drama brewing... An inside look at terrible investing idea involving variable annuities. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (TSLA), (DKS), (M)