Macro Voices
Summary: Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC
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- Artist: Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend
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Podcasts:
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Charlie McElligott to MacroVoices. Erik and Charlie discuss the impact of policy change on the yield curve, the drivers of volatility in rates, and futures driven equity unwind and more.
The inaugural episode of MacroVoices ENERGY WEEK features panelists Art Berman, Anas Alhajji and Patricia Hemsworth. Topic 1: Glut or crisis on the horizon? Topic 2: Crude Quality Matters. This new weekly podcast is all about crude oil & energy markets.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Juliette Declercq to MacroVoices. Erik and Juliette discuss the current status of inflation, the FED’s failure to meet its inflation mandate, and what is ahead for policy path and inflation outlook.
MacroVoices HOT TOPICS are a new offering in conjunction with MacroVoices Premium. Hot Topics interviews are scheduled and produced in reacting to events that come up in markets, independent of our regular podcasts in which the guests are usually scheduled in advance. Today’s Hot Topic is fund manager Kyle Bass’ recent investor letter questioning Hong Kong’s ongoing relevance in the global financial system. Louis-Vincent Gave runs Gavekal, a Hong Kong-based institutional advisor. In today’s Hot Topic interview, Louis offers an “opposing editorial” view, strongly at odds with Kyle Bass’ views on Hong Kong.
MacroVoices All-Stars Episode #1 featuring Dr.Pippa Malmgren, Art Berman, Prof. Steve Keen, Julian Brigden, Luke Gromen and Danielle DiMartino Booth.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Lacy Hunt to MacroVoices. Erik and Dr.Hunt discuss overall outlook on the US and the global economy, synchronized global downturn and risks of a recession, how debt induced weakness is undermining growth rate, destabilization of the global monetary system, and perspectives on Modern Monetary Theory
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Jeff Snider to MacroVoices. Erik and Jeff discuss the history of Eurodollar, Eurodollar as global reserve currency, and how the global economy and the global financial system depend on the Eurodollar system. They also discuss the breakdown of Eurodollar system, the Great Global Monetary Crisis and the effect the Eurodollar squeeze has on the global system.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Prof. Steve Keen to MacroVoices. Erik and Steve discuss possible benefits to US if the dollar loses its reserve currency status, its impacts on international trades and deindustrialization of US, and possible fiscal crisis and the increase of US Treasury Yields. They also touch on consequences of decrease in demand for US dollar, runaway inflation and runaway trade deficit, risks and opportunities of MMT.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Neil Howe to MacroVoices. Erik and Neil discuss how the Fourth Turning is unfolding, what is in store for the second half of the fourth turning and how the cycle climax’s at the end. The touch on employment, late-cycle dynamics, trends in real GDP and what demographic trends suggest for the long-term future.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Eric Peters back to MacroVoices. Erik and Eric discuss equity markets, volatility, treasury bonds and the biggest risks in the markets today. During the post game, Juliette Declercq joins the conversation to discuss her Financial Repression Theme.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg to MacroVoices. Erik and Dave discuss the FOMC policy shift, market topping formation and ask if we are headed for an earnings recession. They further discuss treasury bonds and what is in store for the corporate bond markets. They leave things off by discussing modern monetary theory, helicopter money and Ben Bernanke’s playbook from 2002.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Art Berman back to MacroVoices. Erik and Art ask the question was the oil price collapse more than just a correction? The look at world production surplus for 2019-2020, U.S. oil production and ask if OPEC matters anymore. The further look at trends in world liquid production, perspectives on the Brent and WTI curves and ask why is Brent trading at a premium to WTI.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Barry Ritholtz to MacroVoices. Erik and Barry start by defining bull and bear markets and discuss the bullish case for equities. They proceed to discuss the U.S Dollar, interest rate trends, junk bonds and the China credit risks. They then take a deep dive into populism, the growing trends in socialism, crony capitalism and what is wrong with MMT. Special post game guest Charlie McElligott.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Pippa Malmgren to MacroVoices. Erik and Pippa discuss the U.S./China trade war, the Korean peninsula and the China South Sea. They move on to discuss the future of Donald Trump, China/Russia relations and the future of hypersonic warfare. They wrap up talking about socialism, populism, surveillance capitalism and the outlook for the equity markets.
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome back Luke Gromen to MacroVoices. Erik and Luke discuss the underlying motives & timing of the dollar and the particulars of oil, Petrodollar, and global Treasury Holdings. They elaborate on the drivers behind the strong dollar and timing of the dollar endgame. We welcome Brent Johnson to the post game show to discuss the different alternatives to how the dollar end game scenarios play out.
