Summary: I am very pleased to be with you today to discuss my views on the economic outlook, with particular emphasis on the outlook for inflation.1 In its most recent statements, the Federal Open Market Committee has identified "the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected" as its "predominant policy concern." This places current inflation and the inflation outlook squarely at center stage in thinking about the economy and monetary policy. So in my remarks today, I will take a closer look at inflation's recent behavior and the prospects for its future behavior. In doing so, I'll discuss the interplay between real activity and inflation expectations. As always, these remarks should be taken as my own personal views, and not necessarily those of any of my colleagues in the Federal Reserve.
