Born to Poll (with J. Ann Selzer)




Stay Tuned with Preet show

Summary: On this week’s episode of Stay Tuned, "Born to Poll," host Preet Bharara answers your questions about: -- Former Trump National Security Advisor Michael Flynn's move to withdraw his guilty plea -- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's announcement naming the House Impeachment Managers -- The documents provided to the House Intelligence Committee by Rudy Giuliani's associate, Lev Parnas The guest is J. Ann Selzer, the president and founder of polling firm Selzer & Company. She is one of the country's most widely-respected pollsters and has been overseeing the Des Moines Register Iowa poll almost every year since the 1980s. REFERENCES & SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS THE Q&A MICHAEL FLYNNMr. Flynn’s Motion to Withdraw Plea of Guilty And Unopposed Motion for Continuance, 1/14/20“Allocution,” Legal Information InstituteFederal Rules of Criminal Procedure, Rule 11. Pleas, Legal Information Institute“Michael Flynn moves to withdraw guilty plea, claiming government ‘vindictiveness,’” Washington Post, 1/14/20  IMPEACHMENTPelosi Names Impeachment Managers, Speaker of the House, 1/15/20“Who are the impeachment managers prosecuting the case against Trump in the Senate trial?” Washington Post, 1/15/20Documents provided by Lev Parnas to House investigators“Ukraine prosecutor offered information related to Biden in exchange for ambassador’s ouster, newly released materials show,” Washington Post, 1/14/20“Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America’s Ambassador in Ukraine,” Daily Beast, 1/14/20  THE INTERVIEWElizabeth Winkler, “The Pollster Who Figured Out Iowa’s Quirky Caucuses,” Wall Street Journal, 1/3/2020Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Bernie Sanders Leads the Iowa Poll for the First Time, Weeks Before the Iowa Caucuses,” Des Moines Register, 1/10/2020Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company, 1/10/2020Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Iowa Poll: Pete Buttigieg Rockets to the Top of the 2020 Field as a Clear Front-Runner,” Des Moines Register, 11/16/2019Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company, 11/16/2019Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich, “What the Heck is Going on With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?” FiveThirtyEight, 1/13/2020Clare Malone, “Ann Selzer is the Best Pollster in Politics,” FiveThirtyEight, 1/27/2016Nate Silver, “Ann Selzer on Youth & Minority Turnout,” FiveThirtyEight, 9/26/2008Steven Shepard, “Ann Selzer’s Secret Sauce,” POLITICO, 12/12/2015Jonathan Allen and Amie Parmes, Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign, Penguin Random House, 2017J. Ann Selzer, Tweet about Iowa Poll Timing, Twitter, 1/2/2020J. Ann Selzer, “How Cruz and Sanders Defied the Iowa Polls, Including Our Own,” Bloomberg, 2/2/2016“Kerry Comes Back to Win Dramatic Caucuses,” CNN, 1/20/2004Jeff Zeleny and Jim Rutenberg, “Last-Minute Scramble as Caucus Night Nears,” New York Times, 12/31/2011Liz Halloran, “Is Huntsman Wrong to Skip Iowa?” NPR, 6/21/2011“For Gauging Goofiness, Majority Back Iowa Poll,” New York Times, 1/29/1990 THE BUTTONClip of Doug Collins on Fox, 1/8/20“Preet Bharara to Georgia congressman: You've hit a shocking new low,” CNN, 1/09/20Preet’s first, second, and third tweet about Rep. Doug Collins, 1/8/20Doug Collins’ twitter apology, 1/10/20 As always, tweet your questions to @PreetBharara with hashtag #askpreet, email us at staytuned@cafe.com, or call 669-247-7338 to leave a voicemail. Sign up to receive the CAFE Brief, a weekly newsletter featuring analysis of politically charged legal news, and updates from Preet.