Ep 1 - How to spot manipulation




The Aurorasa Show show

Summary: <p>Test result of a heart treatment pill:</p> <p>A = Number of heart attacks reduced by 33%<br> B = 1.4% fewer heart attacks<br> C = 95.9% of the test group given placebo has not had heart attacks, while 97.3% of people who used the medicine where heart attack free</p> <p>Naturally, we would prefer alternative A that decreases the number of heart attacks by a full 33%.</p> <p>The funny thing is that it's the same medicine and the same study. The results of the "Helsinki Heart Study" were:</p> <p>4081 patients have been observed for 5 years<br> 2051 received the real medicine. 56 of them had a heart attack<br> 2030 received placebo. 84 of them had a heart attack.</p> <p>The treatment was successful in 28 additional cases. That is 33% of 84 heart attacks without the medicine. The placebo was ineffective in 84/2030 cases, = 4.1%. The treatment only in 56/2051 = 2.7% of cases. That is a reduction of 1.4%. The treatment made 2051 people attack free = 97.3% - as opposed to the placebo with 95.9%.</p> --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/aurorasa/message Support this podcast: <a href="https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/aurorasa/support" rel="payment">https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/aurorasa/support</a>