Betting 360 Ep 017: Finding Value And Beating The Market with Rick Williams




Betting 360 - Betting From All Angles show

Summary: After many requests, today's guest is our very own form analyst Rick Williams. He talks us through each day of his working week and how he goes about analysing the form and making betting decisions. Listen in for some fantastic insights into the life of a professional punter.   Punting Insights You'll Find A normal working week for a professionals. How to combine video reviews with sectionals data. How to use perception vs. reality to gain an edge. What to look for in an IVR report. Some of the variables that are difficult to predict (and how to handle them). Why a maiden race can be a worthwhile bet.   Today's Guest: Rick Williams Rick's Closing Tip: " The whole idea of the game is to make money, and if there's money to be made in a Geelong maiden, then I'm happy to try and make it there.  " Get the Transcript: Episode 017: Finding Value And Beating The Market with Rick Williams Welcome to Betting 360, your number one source for horse racing and sports betting insights. Coming around the bend is your host David Duffield, with another expert view to give you the winning edge. David: Hi, this is David Duffield. And for Episode 17 of the Betting 360 podcast we thought we’d bring on one of our own. We’ve had quite a few requests from people who wanted to find out a bit more about a normal day, and a normal week for a professional punter. And we’ve got Rick Williams on to have a chat about how his week pans out, basically Monday through Sunday, and how he goes about trying to find some value and to beat the market. So let’s have a chat with one of our own, Rick Williams. David: Hi everyone it’s David Duffield here. And we’ve had 16 episodes of the Betting 360 podcast. So thought it was time to get on someone well known to most of you, and that’s the man responsible for all the form analysis here at Champion Picks, it’s Rick Williams, how are you going mate? Rick: Good thanks mate. David: That’s good. Yeah we’ve had a few requests from newsletter, and members wanting to find out a bit more about how you go about it. So what I’d thought what we’d do is run through a typical week in what you do, in analysing mainly Sydney and Melbourne racing, but also the occasional hit and run mission elsewhere. So we’ll just run through how a normal week pans out for you, and you can explain the work that goes into it. So might as well lead off on a Monday, what type of work are you typically doing to kick off the week? Rick: The first thing I do on Monday, is basically cover any work that I have been unable to do during the previous week. And that’s mainly review sort of stuff, and it’s got a lot to do with, you know our ratings, and sectional times, and IVR’s, and putting it all together and recording certain things, and blackbooking horses, and doing the videos, and all those different aspects. Obviously I try to do certain parts of that as they happen through the week, but you know, being that there’s only so many hours in a day, and not a great deal of what I do at this stage is fully automated, there’s some part automation, but there’s still a little bit of manual sort of work, which should change quite soon though. But it’s really just, you know first thing Monday get in, and you know really just do the grunt work of a lot of things that happened the week before. David: So when you are watching the videos, what are you actually looking out for? Rick: What we sort of look for is, we’re looking for, I guess what everyone looks for. You’ve just got to really, pay close attention, and everyone sees the big things, you know the horse that can’t get a run for the whole straight, or all those different sorts of things so you know it’s just a lot more subtle things that happen in races. The horse might, you know just lose slight momentum. Geelong Synthetic’s an interesting one, for any horse that sort of comes wide on that turn, it’s like a big hair pin you know that Geelong turn on the synthetic,